Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.939573e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074
2025-02-16 2.403115e-05 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095
2025-02-23 1.908459e-05 0.000027 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000086 0.000110
2025-03-02 1.438874e-05 0.000023 0.000033 0.000048 0.000067 0.000089 0.000119
2025-03-09 1.128697e-05 0.000019 0.000031 0.000046 0.000067 0.000093 0.000128
2025-03-16 9.037582e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000098 0.000138
2025-03-23 7.417988e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000044 0.000070 0.000103 0.000148
2025-03-30 6.016984e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000044 0.000070 0.000107 0.000157
2025-04-06 4.707408e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000042 0.000070 0.000109 0.000164
2025-04-13 3.450225e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000108 0.000166
2025-04-20 2.672593e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000037 0.000067 0.000110 0.000172
2025-04-27 2.210293e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000037 0.000068 0.000114 0.000182
2025-05-04 1.696170e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000037 0.000070 0.000120 0.000195
2025-05-11 1.551777e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000077 0.000133 0.000218
2025-05-18 1.196325e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000079 0.000140 0.000233
2025-05-25 7.718103e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000077 0.000140 0.000239
2025-06-01 5.136924e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000143 0.000248
2025-06-08 3.420864e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000077 0.000146 0.000258
2025-06-15 2.320100e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000079 0.000151 0.000270
2025-06-22 1.463386e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000079 0.000155 0.000280
2025-06-29 7.881549e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000078 0.000156 0.000287
2025-07-06 3.104801e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000154 0.000289
2025-07-13 1.257495e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000156 0.000296